BBC News By Mark Ward Technology correspondent
11 October 2011 Last updated at 09:02 GMT
This is the future calling
When science fiction writer William
Gibson observed that the future is already here, it is just not very evenly
distributed, he could have been thinking of mobile
networks.
Those networks are a patchwork of
second and third generation mobile technologies which has become a problem as
we do more with our phones than just talk and text.
It means that web access is blazing
fast in one location, absent close by and limping along at a snail's pace
around the corner.
But, say many mobile operators, this
will be a distant memory when fourth generation (4G) mobile technology is put
in place.
Big changes
The problem with this claim is that
the 4G technology operators are blowing the trumpet for, known as LTE (Long
Term Evolution), is not officially 4G.
The International Telecommunications
Union (ITU) has the job of deciding which G is which. Under its definition, LTE
is 3.9G.
The ITU's standard for 4G technology
demands that it be capable of pushing data around at a rate of 1 gigabit per
second. LTE is designed to handle a mere 100 megabits per second.
Despite this, LTE will bring in big
changes for mobile networks, says Dan Warren, senior director of technology at
the GSMA, the industry association for mobile networks.
"The original GSM networks were
designed primarily with voice optimization in mind," he said. "That
involved low delay but relatively low bandwidth over an air interface that in
the 80s was quite unreliable."
Essentially those early networks were
all about talking on the phone with a tiny bit of texting involved.
Bracketed around this was lots of error correction technology to ensure your
call did not drop out.
But mobile users are no longer happy
to do mainly talking and a bit of texting.
"There's a recognition in the
industry as a whole that data and access to the internet are of vital
importance," said Mr. Warren.
This is where LTE comes in.
"When you get to LTE you do not
have voice delivered in the traditional way anymore," he said. "In
LTE everything is treated as data and it is all handled by the same core
network."
This means we should be able to get
more out of our smartphones, tablets and e-readers as broadband
speeds will be generally faster.
Power play
But for all its advances, LTE does
have a downside in that it makes very heavy use of the spectrum allocated to
it. And some feel that LTE and its successor technologies stick too closely to
what has come before.
That technology legacy is making
itself increasingly evident, claims Rajarshi Sanyal, a telecoms researcher from
Brussels.
Working with Prof Ernestina Cianca
from the University of Rome and Prof Ramjee Prasad from Aalborg University, he
is looking at an alternative way to build a mobile network, one simpler than
what we have now but still able to support high data rates.
Their contention is that mobile
networks are getting too complicated to manage effectively. That, they say, is
not just a problem for operators.
It has a knock-on effect to handsets
too.
"Not only are mobile networks
today complex but they need active elements at every nook of the network,"
said Mr. Sanyal. That means each handset has to devote a chunk of its
processing and battery power to maintaining contact with the network."
As the number of mobile user’s
increases and the cell sizes shrink, this continuous interaction between the
handset and the network implies a substantial overhead on the network.
A network in which that burden is
lessened would mean phones spend fewer processing cycles and battery power checking in. The researchers have come up with
a design for just such a system and are setting up a demonstration to show how
their suggested admin-lite network might work.
"With the same processor you
leave more room for catering to the next generation of network driven
applications," said Mr. Sanyal.
The idea has some merit, said Mr.
Warren.
"If you were to take a purist
view and scrap everything we have today and replace it, then absolutely you
could do something a lot simpler," he said.
However, he added, the practicalities
of building a network mean those simple choices cannot be made.
Money talks
But even as networks get better at
handling data and the bandwidth speeds rise, operators could face another problem
- how to persuade people to splash out and buy a new LTE handset.
"Going to go from eight megabits
per second to 20 Mbps you will see the difference, but it's not the same impact
as if you went from dial-up to broadband," said Carolina Milanesi, an analyst
at market research firm Gartner who specializes in mobile devices.
Selling that first uplift was easier,
she said, because the difference was so stark. What also fed into that initial
demand for 3G phones was the fact that the handsets that worked on those
networks were among the first to have cameras. Together the two drove demand
and got people onto those faster networks.
Such a feat is going to be harder to
repeat this time around, she said, because all those features we are used to on
a smartphone will already be present. And the slight uptick in browsing speed
or how quickly applications load may not be enough to get people to fork out
for a new handset.
"You can see that cost is an
issue if you look at the deployment of 4G," said Ms Milanesi. "It's
an issue because operators are going a bit more cautiously simply because they
spent so much on 3G licenses."
The UK's 4G auction was due to take
place in early 2012 but has been delayed to later the same year as regulator
Ofcom gathers information from operators about how it should be run.
Operators spent billions to buy a 3G license
and will have just one question about any cash they spend, said Ms Milanesi.
"This time," she said,
"they will be asking how do we get some of that money back."
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